Post Reply - H5N1/flu (other types)

Rick Bright reposted
Abraar Karan
@AbraarKaran
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Three key issues with #H5N1 
1) mild disease means likely under detection. Severe disease shows up to hospitals; mild not so much 
2) ongoing spillovers mean continuous chance for mutations/ human adaptation
3) human flu season gets closer by the day; human or animal w/ co-infection means risk of viral reassortment —> higher pandemic risk

DJ https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/749462-flutrackers-2016-global-h5n1-human-cases-list?view=stream or https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/flutrackers-high-pathogenic-h5n1-h1n08-h5n8-h5n6-h5n3-tracking-outbreaks-spread/749462-flutrackers-2016-global-h5n1-human-cases-list?view=stream latest;

In 2024 different H5N1 clades in humans;

-Cambodia 6 human cases
-US had 4
-Australia 1
Vietnam 1

So the first half-more or less-of 2024 did see 12 H5N1 human cases in 4 countries...

In 2023-all of it !- we had 10 human cases;

-Cambodia 6
-UK 2
-China 1
-Chile 1

Since H5N1 OFTEN !!!! is mild it may be very easy to miss ! The Case Fatality Ratio is not very realistic...The "killing potential" however may be very serious !

It is the background that matters ! H1N1-"Spanish Flu" had World War One -chaos-as a background...CoViD-immunity destruction-may give H5N1 (mixed with lots of other diseases and "politics gone stupid") all the room it needs !